- On Wednesday, the federal and state governments decided on further measures to combat the pandemic at the Corona summit.
- What do the numbers look like today, on Sunday, November 29th, 2020?
Corona numbers in Germany today, 29.11.
- New infections: According to the RKI, at least 14,611 people across Germany have been infected with the corona virus. For comparison: Last Saturday were more than 21.000 New infections have been reported. On Sunday a week ago it was 15,741. According to data from “Zeit Online”, the offices registered 14.395 new cases. The figures from Zeit Online are based on direct information from the districts. They are less affected by delayed reporting chains than the statistics of the Robert Koch Institute and can therefore deviate. On Sundays and Mondays are the numbers but often lower, Among other things, because not all health authorities transmit the latest figures on weekends.
- Infected: Overall, according to the latest figures from the institute, since the beginning of the pandemic in Germany 1.042.700 Cases of infection registered.
- Tote: The number of deaths that died with or in connection with Corona is at 16.123. These are 158 More dead than the day before.
- Recovered: According to the RKI, the number of those who have recovered is around 722.300
- R value: The RKI gives a so-called seven-day R in its current situation report. This value relates to a longer period of time and is therefore less subject to daily fluctuations. The so-called seven-day R was included according to the RKI status report from Wednesday evening 0,96 (Previous day: 0,93). The value represents the occurrence of the infection 8 to 16 days ago. If the value is below 1 for a long time, the infection rate subsides.
RKI figures for Germany in the dashboard
Important indicators of the corona pandemic in Germany
Since the beginning of the pandemic, numbers have been published every day to trace the course. Here is an explanation of what numbers mean what.
Reproduction number (R value)
The reproduction number – or R-value for short – describes how many people an infected person infects during their illness. If the number is above one, a disease is spreading more and more in the population. The further it moves away from one, the faster and more threatening the trend is. However, this is always only a general national assessment of the situation.
There are also certain inaccuracies due to reporting delays and other factors. According to estimates by the RKI, the value currently fluctuates around one in Germany. According to the experts there, this is already considered a success and indicates that countermeasures to reduce contact are working. These reduce the chance that an infected person will infect other people and thus reduce the R value. Otherwise it could be three or four.
The R-value alone does not necessarily say anything about the drama of the entire development. It only results from the combination with the number of daily or weekly new infections. The reason is simple: with the same R value, it makes a huge difference whether there are 50,000 infections a day or a few hundred. Theoretically, the dynamic of spread is the same, but in the case of the higher numbers, it puts a greater burden on the capacities of the health systems due to the sheer mass alone.
In Germany, the number of new infections every day is now between 12,000 and 23,000 cases. That is an extreme increase in a relatively short time. At the beginning of October, according to the RKI, the number of new cases reported every day was only between 1,000 and 4,000. In other European countries the development is even more dramatic.
The so-called seven-day incidence is a key benchmark for assessing the infection dynamics in a specific area and deciding on countermeasures. In Germany, it is recorded at community or district level and expresses how many new infections per 100,000 inhabitants have been registered in the past seven days. Nationwide it is now 139.
Behind this, however, there are regionally different trends. An incidence value of 50 was introduced in Germany as an essential threshold for the introduction of stricter containment measures, but this has now been clearly exceeded almost everywhere.
Heavy gradients and intensive care bed occupancy
Ultimately, the number of cases alone does not determine how well a country can cope with the pandemic. Rather, it is of decisive importance whether the health system has sufficient capacity to treat the sick. That is why experts and politicians are observing very closely how the number of severe courses and available treatment places are developing.
The former is primarily influenced by how the virus spreads within the risk groups, where severe courses are much more likely. The number of intensive care patients with life-threatening illnesses is examined particularly closely. Capacities in this area are always limited, if only with regard to the specialist staff.
The number is an important yardstick when deciding on containment measures for another reason: There is no unreported number. In contrast to the number of reports on infections, which are also influenced by test strategies, there is no “underreporting” of artificially ventilated intensive care patients in hospitals. However, there is a time delay of two weeks. This is how long it takes after an infection for severe disease to develop. The number of intensive care patients lags behind the infection dynamics.