For weeks it seemed as if the lockdown in Germany was finally having an effect. All curves pointed downwards. But now there are more and more indications that this could change again.
- Corona in Germany: The R value is suddenly above 1.
The number of new infections is also increasing.
- Flensburg has become a hotspot and is tightening the measures.
The numbers in Bavaria are developing positively.
- Karl Lauterbach names the late and inadequate development of vaccination capacity by the EU as a big mistake.
Berlin – In Germany, there are increasing indications of a possible further exacerbation of the corona pandemic. After the so-called reproduction number of the coronavirus had been below one for weeks, it has now exceeded this important threshold for the first time, according to the Robert Koch Institute.
Coronavirus: According to the RKI, the R value suddenly rises above 1
The RKI gave the nationwide seven-day R-value on Friday evening as 1.01. This means that 100 infected people theoretically infect 101 more people. This could indicate that the more contagious virus variants are spreading faster despite the lockdown.
Coronavirus: Health authorities report increase in new infections
The data reflect the status of the RKI dashboard at 3:10 a.m., subsequent changes or additions are possible. In addition, 490 new coronavirus-related deaths were reported within 24 hours.
The so-called seven-day incidence was reportedly 57.8 on Friday. For the first time in a long time, it rose slightly above the previous day’s value, which was 56.8.
RKI President Lothar Wieler said on Friday that the proportion of virus variant B 1.1.7., Which, according to conservative estimates, is 35 percent more contagious, is increasing rapidly in Germany. “We may be at a turning point again.
The downward trend of the last few weeks is apparently no longer continuing, ”said Wieler.
The increase in the R-value is now making people sit up and take notice. If it is below 1 for a long time, the infection process subsides. If it is above 1, it gains momentum. On Wednesday, the RKI had given the R value as 0.85.
Coronavirus: Flensburg tightened measures
The British mutant has already gained the upper hand in Flensburg. In the city on the Danish border, according to Mayor Simone Lange (SPD), almost only infections with the variant that initially appeared in England are found. In the past few days, mutants had been detected in 80 cases, Lange said on Friday.
The Ministry of Justice announced on Friday in Copenhagen that controls are being “much more intensive”.
In Flensburg itself, corona requirements have been tightened again since midnight. Nightly exit restrictions will come into effect on this Saturday between 9 p.m. and 5 a.m. In addition, private meetings are prohibited there for the time being.
The re are exceptions, for example for going to work or to the doctor.
The increase in the proportion of mutations and the expected increase in incidence “give us the right to initiate these very serious but necessary measures,” said the mayor. Lange announced strict controls. Violations of the regulation can result in high fines. In Flensburg, 70,000 free rapid tests will initially be available to people.
The officials would primarily rely on the dialogue with the citizens, but take rigorous action if this should be necessary.
Coronavirus: Lauterbach calls for strict lockdown
SPD health expert Karl Lauterbach named Flensburg as an example of what could happen to all of Germany if the British mutation spread further. “This can only be prevented by a strict lockdown until we are clearly below the target incidence of 35,” he said on Twitter.
The inadequate and late development of vaccination capacity by the EU will go down in history as the biggest mistake in our fight against Covid, “said the SPD health politician.
The inadequate and late development of vaccination capacity by the EU will go down in history as the biggest mistake in our fight against Covid. https://t.co/fGvf0rd7ih
– Karl Lauterbach (@Karl_Lauterbach) February 20, 2021
The impatience is growing in the state, that is noticeable.” Baden-Württemberg’s Prime Minister Kretschmann said: “I just keep listening to opening. I would like to experience someone who says, now do something a little sharper. I never hear that! ”A third wave, which would be even worse than the second, could not be in the interests of the economy. “
The n we’ll do a real lockdown – it didn’t even exist before.”
Coronavirus: Positive development in Bavaria – Söder has an opening matrix in mind
Bavaria’s Prime Minister Markus Söder (CSU) expects that the residents of old people’s homes will be vaccinated against Corona by March. “We are largely through with the vaccination in old people’s and nursing homes,” he said on Saturday at an online event organized by Christian Social Workers (CSA). He estimates that the second vaccinations will be “completely over” by March. “
The n it will also bring about a significant improvement in the question of the risk (from) Corona.”
The curves are now developing down,” said Söder. “But the truth is that (…) the trend in Germany is not going down as much as it was last week.” In some places the numbers even went up slightly. He imagines an “opening matrix” depending on the infection situation on site as follows: “Where more is possible, much more is possible. Where we have to be skeptical, much less is possible. “
More than half of the counties and urban districts in Bavaria have now fallen below the incidence value of 50. According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), 51 of the 96 districts and cities recorded fewer than 50 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants within a week on Saturday. Of these, 27 are below the 35 mark. However, the upward gap is very wide: with the districts of Tirschenreuth (345) and Wunsiedel (313) on the Czech border, the nationwide front runners in terms of incidence figures are in Bavaria.
Coronavirus: Heil warns against hasty easing
The federal and state governments must jointly develop a sensible opening concept,” said the SPD politician to the editorial network in Germany (Saturday). “It has to be so sure that after a few weeks we don’t have to close everything that we just opened.”
With an opening strategy, it is important to proceed carefully, step by step. “All measures have to be accompanied by a good test strategy and we have to keep an eye on the progress of the vaccination,” said Heil. “Just because we are all annoyed by the lockdown, we cannot end it with a bang.” You can read everything about the Corona situation in Munich here. (dpa/lin)