The head of the Systems Immunology department at the Helmholtz Center for Infection Research in Braunschweig fears a third wave if the number of infections is falling too early. “We are currently facing at least two pandemics,” said the researcher. “We have the old one under control with the current measures.”
The British mutant B.1.1.7, with its significantly higher transmission probability, is the big problem. “It is already in a phase of exponential growth again in Germany and the current measures are not enough to slow this development down,” said Meyer-Hermann.
British mutant will dominate
The problematic development of the mutation is still covered by the old variant. “Sooner or later, however, B.1.1.7 will dominate,” said the scientist. He advocates pursuing the “no-Covid strategy” up to an incidence value of 10. With the better follow-up, the third wave can be intercepted, predicted Meyer-Hermann. “Basically, the areas bordering high-incidence regions have more difficulties in reducing the incidence,” added the researcher. “This is all the more true as there is a higher risk of introducing the new variants.”
[ source link ]
Helmholtz researchers Incidence loosening NDRde Nachrichten Saxony