RKI reveals ControlCovid plan: This is how Germany should come out of permanent shutdown

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Incidence of 10 as a target: RKI presents a step-by-step plan: This is how Germany should now come out of lockdown

 The  RKI has presented a plan for how Germany could gradually emerge from its lockdown dilemma. FOCUS Online shows how Germany should open again. © www.de24.news

 The  sole focus on incidence values ​​is controversial among experts.

© www.de24.news

 The  limits of resilience in the corona crisis have apparently been reached – and this does not currently mean the health system. A current strategy paper from the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) soberly summarizes the situation: “In the context of the falling number of cases, considerations are currently taking place on opening strategies and step-by-step plans at various levels. At the same time, a decline in the acceptance of measures in the population can be observed, which underlines the need for a clear objective and a transparent perspective for the next few months. “

In other words: Despite a possibly imminent third wave, the federal government is planning to gradually open up the country. However – as in Great Britain, for example – rather cautiously, with many safety buffers and emergency brakes. For the first time, consequential and collateral damage from the lockdown measures are also mentioned in the strategy paper and publicly included in the deliberations.

“ControlCovid” is the name of the guidelinewhich contains some elements of the controversial “NoCovid” strategy – but also significant differences. FOCUS Online shows how Germany should free itself from the shutdown.

1. © www.de24.news

 The se are the goals of “ControlCovid”

According to the RKI paper, it is primarily about

  • to further reduce the number of nine infections and prevent the number of cases from rising again;
  • Track and effectively test contacts of infected people;
  • to promote vaccinations;
  • Particularly protecting risk groups, especially in old people’s and nursing homes and hospitals.

According to information from FOCUS Online, consultations, including by well-known doctors and aerosol experts, have resulted in the protection concepts clearly focusing on interiors, because the risk of infection outside is very low according to all the data that are available.

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RKI wants incidence of 10 as an ideal

Nevertheless, the aim is to achieve an incidence value of 10 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants per 7 days – a component of the so-called “NoCovid” strategy, which is represented by Helmholtz virologist Melanie Brinkmann. © www.de24.news

 The  incidence value is “leading in the escalation” of measures. In other words, despite the different opinions of some experts, it is actually the alpha and omega of the federal government.

However, opening steps are also planned for incidences and the RKI emphasizes that one does not want to consider the incidence values ​​alone. © www.de24.news

 The  utilization of intensive care beds in hospitals or the infection rate among those over 60 should also be recorded. Protection concepts for old people’s homes, on the other hand, which the RKI had already presented in April 2020, were repeatedly called for by proponents of an alternative strategy to lockdown, such as the well-known virologist Hendrik Streeck. Obviously, the RKI has tried to integrate different approaches in its concept.

Step-by-step plan: basic to intensity level 3

But it is also certain that Germany will not return to normality anytime soon if this goes according to plan. And: A new lockdown is possible at any time, depending on the required incidence values.

Because even the “basic level” with an incidence below 10 still contains measures, such as the well-known distance rules and the requirement to wear a mask indoors. But in contrast to the current situation, daycare centers and schools, for example, should always remain open.

This is what the individual levels mean:

  • Basic stufe (Incidence below 10): General measures, such as a mask requirement in retirement and nursing homes and hospitals, use of the corona warning app, contact search, quarantine measures, outdoor meetings for up to 1000 people possible, but only for 100 indoors : Germany opens – Schools, retail outlets and shops, universities, bars and restaurants, theaters and museums etc. are open with appropriate protection concepts.
  • Intensity level 1 (Incidence 10 to 35): outdoor gatherings only up to 500 people, indoors only up to 50; Otherwise, everything remains open that is also open in the basic level.
  • Intensity level 2 (incidence 35 to 50): Indoor gatherings with a maximum of 10 people, bars, clubs and restaurants are closed, in public transport, extra trains are to reduce the number of people in the wagons, secondary schools and vocational schools are taking distance lessons.
  • Intensity level 3 (Incidence over 50): Family gatherings only. Public life – retail, restaurants, theaters, but also outdoor gatherings – is being put back into shutdown. But: daycare centers and green schools, possibly with special protection concepts, always remain open, as do parks and playgrounds.

Calculate your personal corona risk from aerosols here

Please adhere to the AHA + L rules and the applicable statutory provisions at all times – regardless of the aerosol infection risk calculated here. We have divided our calculation into two parts: Based on the 7-day incidence of the RKI for your city or district and the number of people you would like to meet, we calculate the probability that at least one member of your group is infectious . On the other hand, on the basis of your information on room size, ventilation behavior, activities in the room, mouth and nose protection worn and the number of people, we calculate the risk that you will be infected with Sars-CoV-2 via aerosols if an infectious person is with you in the room is located. You can find more information about the calculation here.

Disclaimer: This is how we calculate your risk

© www.de24.news

 The  calculation of the risk of infection if there is an infectious person in the room is based on the assumption that everyone present is an adult. We also assume that everyone will enter the room at the same time and that the aerosols of the contagious person will immediately be distributed evenly throughout the room.

© www.de24.news

 The  basis for calculating the risk of infection within a room is the study Predicted Infection Risk for Aerosol Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 by the TU Berlin, the Charité, the Robert Koch Institute and the Berlin Health Department. It is supplemented by studies by the Hermann Rietschel Institute (HRI) at the TU Berlin on the influence of wearing a mask. We would like to thank Martin Kriegel, Head of HRI, and his team for the excellent cooperation!

© www.de24.news

 The  assumptions for calculating the probability that an infectious person is in the room are based on the 7-day incidence that the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) states for the respective city or district in which you are located specified zip code is located. For this we use the data interfaces of Opendatasoft.com and the RKI. © www.de24.news

 The  number of unreported cases has a further influence: We have determined a factor of 6, by which the total number of infected people is greater than that reported to the RKI, based on statements by RKI President Lothar Wieler. © www.de24.news

 The  duration of the infectiousness in symptomatic and non-symptomatic Corona19 infected people has also found an influence. We have set this duration to 11 days for infectious people with Covid-19 symptoms and 7 days for non-symptomatic infected people. It is based on the study SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and MERS-CoV viral load dynamics, duration of viral shedding, and infectiousness: a systematic review and meta-analysis, published in © www.de24.news

 The  Lancet.

Our risk calculator calculates the risk of infection for both the previously known Sars-CoV-2 virus and the mutation B 1.1.7, which was initially widespread in England and which is now causing more and more infections in Germany. From this we calculate a weighted average based on a frequency distribution of the two virus types that is updated again and again.

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RKI reveals ControlCovid plan Germany permanent shutdown

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