Can it get any worse this year?
Drosten believes that models from the intensive care medical association Divi, according to which the intensive care units would be heavily burdened again in May if they were loosened too early, are realistic. The Divi experts are in favor of a lockdown by the beginning of April.
The virologist does not expect much help from the warmer season in coping with the pandemic. He referred to a study according to which a maximum reduction of 20 percent can be expected. There is no reason to assume “that we can expect a seasonal effect here that is like the normal cold coronaviruses”. Statements to the contrary in the public are scientifically untenable.